[월:] 2020년 01월
2019: Getting my Move On
In 2019 I moved to Turks & Caicos and decided to sell my apartment in New York. I love my hybrid life where I split my time between New York and the Caribbean. It allows me to spend a month in New York where I am intellectually, socially, professionally and artistically stimulated beyond my wildest dreams. I meet countless extraordinary people, host intellectual dialoging salons and enjoy all of New York’s entertainment options. But after a month, I admit I am exhausted, and the constant doing takes time away from thinking. That’s why I then love spending a month in the Caribbean where I can work during the day, kite, and play tennis and really take the time to read, be reflective and recharge my batteries.
I decided to leave the Dominican Republic in 2018, and had to ponder where I should go. My real estate travails from 2012 to 2018 meant that for 7 years I did not have a real home or the playground with all the activities I adore. It’s not as though those are life essentials and I was deprived. Quite the contrary, I had amazing life experiences in asset light living (see The Very Big Downgrade & Update on the Very Big Downgrade). I traveled extensively and went on many adventures, but I must admit I do miss the convenience of being able to play tennis and padel every day or just to have my friends come over for a LAN party.
In hindsight, I should have just bought an already built house that I could just move in, in a stable country where I could buy inexpensive nearby land to build my playground and call it a day. It would not fulfill my grandiose vision of building a “Necker Island 2.0” to invite a community of entrepreneurs, artists, spiritual leaders and intellectuals to hang out, nor would it have my specific aesthetic preferences, but it would have the convenience of being immediately useful and to play the role of gathering point for friends, family and colleagues.
This led me to buy Triton in Turks & Caicos. Turks is very built out and does not have the raw authenticity of Cabarete. There are fewer days of wind for kiting, and it’s insanely expensive. However, it has the most beautiful water in the world. The weather is fantastic all year long. The flights are only three hours from New York. It’s English speaking and uses the dollar as its currency. The safety, flat water and gorgeous beaches, not to mention the absence of Zika, Chikungunya and dengue make it appealing for all my friends and their families, and not just my adventurous friends who liked the rougher conditions of my Cabarete dwelling with its massive spiders, rats and cockroaches.
Having gleaned some lessons from my prior experiences, I decided to buy a house on Providenciales on Long Bay Beach where I can kite directly from the house and play tennis at the house. I opted not to buy on the other islands despite significantly lower prices and the availability of more land, because the lack of infrastructure makes things way more complicated and expensive. It’s also inconvenient to go for a few days if upon landing you need to be driven to a boat to get to your destination. I will now buy a little bit of inexpensive non-beachfront property to build the missing elements of my playground starting with the all-important padel court.
At the same time the never-ending travails with my New York apartment made me decide that the time had come to move on. In 5 years, I have not been able to enjoy the apartment properly and the water damage has been such that I have been living in hotels and Airbnbs for the last 18 months. As the building is badly built, the management intractable and the building broke, I suspect that even if I ended up rebuilding it as my dream apartment, problems would keep popping up. In hindsight, I undervalued the benefit of being in a well-managed building with the financial means to address issues, nor did I realize the downside of having by far the best apartment in an otherwise relatively small and poor building. Having moved dozens of times in the last 18 months, I intend to rent an apartment March 2020 onwards.
These travails have also cured me of home ownership. I would much rather rent and have the owner deal with whatever issues arise rather than having to deal with them myself. It means I won’t have the apartment of my dreams, but as life keeps highlighting: the best is the enemy of the good. I look forward to having a place in New York I can call home for the next few years bringing a modicum of stability to my life.
I keep being surprised by the amount of work and costs involved with real estate ownership and how illiquid an asset class it really is. The maintenance required highlights that it is a depreciating asset that requires constant work. When you take into consideration property taxes, insurance, maintenance and the constant renovations, the net yield is negligible. Despite historically low interest rates it makes much more sense to rent. This is especially true in New York right now as the glut of high-end apartments makes it a renter’s market. I can’t wait to be rid of all the real estate I own, though the pace of divestiture has been glacial.
In an ideal world I would not have bought the house in Turks, but it was unfortunately not available for long term rental. The limited housing stock on the island, almost none of which is available for long term renting, forced my hand. I do not consider it to be an investment. It’s consumption, pure and simple: a place to call home.
Having found my new home in Turks, allowed me to have an amazing year on both the personal and professional fronts. I brought my friends and family to visit countless times. I started learning to kite foil and had countless adventures.
Highlights were:
- Heliskiing with Kingfisher in Kelowna both to start and finish the year
- Skiing with lots of my friends and family in Niseko (Japan)
- My sister in law Cristina’s graduation from Fuqa (Duke)
- My nephew Edouard’s christening
- Dog sitting seeing eye dog puppies in New York
- Hosting countless intellectual salons in New York
- My 45th birthday in Turks surrounded by friends and family
- Spending the night on Paul’s art car at Burning Man
- Going to the semifinals of the US Open
- Heliskiing in Chile
- Doing my first Ayahuasca ceremony
- Training at a padel academy in Barcelona
- Attending Greenmantle in Bordeaux
- Visiting Lisbon for the first time
- Spending Thanksgiving with friends and family in Turks
- The Luminocity Festival in New York
- Spending Christmas with my family in Miami
I also spent time visiting my family in Nice. It felt amazing to be back in my hometown enjoying the amazing food, playing tons of padel and spending time with my nephew.
FJ Labs continued to rock. In 2019, the team grew to 26 people. We deployed $51M. We made 124 investments, 83 first time investments and 41 follow-on investments. We had 22 exits, of which 11 were successful including the acquisition of Reverb by Etsy and the acquisition of Fynd by Reliance Industries.
Since our inception, we invested in 558 unique companies, had 191 exits (including partial exits where we more than recouped our cost basis), and currently have 484 active investments. We’ve had realized returns of 62% IRR and a 4.4x average multiple.
I spent some time thinking about the latest trends in marketplaces.
I also shared a lot of my entrepreneurial lessons learned in a series of keynotes, fireside chats, podcasts and video interviews:
- I gave a keynote at Noah in Berlin: Marketplaces: The Party is not Over!
- I had a fireside chat about building marketplaces with Jason Goldlist at TechToronto
- I had a fireside chat with Liz Myers organized by the Princeton Entrepreneurship Council
- I gave a keynote on how tech will make the world a better place for La French Tech
- I moderated a panel at Web Summit and spoke on 5 panels including:
- I covered my origin story on the Origins podcast
- I discussed the ups and downs of entrepreneurship on the Creator Lab podcast
It was fun to get a full page in the local newspaper just as I came to visit my family in Nice and to be covered in Les Echos around the French Tech conference.
In terms of writing, I finished my framework for making important decisions in life:
- A framework for making important decisions: Step 3 of 4
- A framework for making important decisions: Step 4 of 4
I also reviewed Why We Sleep given that I made significant life changes post reading the book and wrote a packing list for Burning Man to help virgins and grizzled veterans alike.
My economic predictions for 2019 were correct: the US economy did well. We are now in the longest expansion on record, and tech remained the sector to be in. While we are late in the economic cycle, the US may very well continue to do well until the end of 2020. We are at full employment and presidential election years typically have loose fiscal and monetary policies.
The main recession risk seems geopolitical given the current slew of world “leaders.” I suspect that the largest risk to the world economy is a budget crisis in Italy. It would put the Euro project at risk and lead to a massive flight to safety, creating the next global recession.
The current political climate keeps reinforcing my decision to avoid following and reading news be it in newspapers, online or on TV. It’s sensationalist negative entertainment that misses the real technology-led improvements that happen slowly, but inexorably transform our lives for the better.
Despite the implosion of WeWork and the travails at Softbank, I remain very bullish on early stage venture capital. We are still at the very beginning of the technology revolution. Only 15% of commerce is online. Online penetration remains negligible in the sectors that account for most of GDP: education, health care, and public services. The way we build homes is still artisanal. Synthetic biology is in its infancy. The emerging trend of no-code, which allows non-programmers to build complex fully functional websites, is unleashing a massive wave of innovation. It democratizes startup creation and innovation allowing people from all walks of life and every educational background to partake in the Internet revolution.
We are meeting more extraordinary entrepreneurs than ever before. There are still billions of capital on the sidelines in later stage funds like Sequoia and Insight that need to be put to work in the next few years. I suspect that even if some of these funds disappoint, most will still be able to raise their next fund. The current low rate environment, with no end in sight, will continue to lead to yield chasing. All that to say Seed and Series A funded startups will have access to plenty of capital. The technology sector remains the engine of productivity and economic growth and will continue to do well in 2020.
Happy new year!
뉴욕 엔터테인먼트 추천
제 친구들은 모두 연말연시를 맞아 뉴욕으로 내려가기로 결정한 것 같았습니다. 이미 뉴욕의 대표적인 명소(메트로폴리탄 박물관, 자연사 박물관, MOMA, 리버티 타워, 라이온 킹)를 둘러본 이들은 더 독특한 명소를 추천해 달라고 요청했습니다.
아크로바틱, 버라이어티, 광기 등 모든 것이 총망라된 이 야한 버라이어티 쇼는 모든 것을 선보입니다. 놀랍고 왠지 모르게 일부 행위의 아마추어스러움이 그 매력을 더할 뿐입니다. 또한 부시윅의 젊고 재미있고 뜨거운 버닝맨 군중을 만날 수 있습니다.
보통 격주 수요일 오후 8시부터 시작됩니다. 다음 이벤트는 1월 29일에 열립니다.
삼키기
부시윅과 하우스 오브 예스의 노출이 너무 자극적이라면 더 데버링이 적격입니다. 스튜디오 54의 이안 슈라거, 하우스 오브 예스, 미슐랭 스타 셰프 존 프레이저가 협업한 결과물입니다. 돈과 전문 연기자만 있다면 더티 서커스는 절묘한 식사의 맥락에서 더티 서커스가 될 수 있을 것입니다. 인간 경험에 대한 찬사이자 눈부신 네오 벌레스크의 화려함입니다. 현대판 카바레이자 잔치이며 살아 있다는 것을 축하하는 자리입니다.
데렌 브라운: 비밀
이 쇼는 1월4일에 종료되니 서둘러 보러 가세요! 데렌 브라운은 세계 최고의 멘탈리스트입니다. 그의 쇼는 우리 삶을 이끄는 이야기와 신념에 초점을 맞춘 마음 읽기, 설득, 심리적 착각이 혼합된 프로그램입니다.
참석할 수 없다면 유튜브와 넷플릭스에서 그의 쇼를 시청하세요.
노마드의 마술사
제가 본 마술쇼 중 최고였어요. 공중부양, 카드 마술, 작고 어둡고 친밀한 분위기에서 펼쳐지는 멘탈리즘 등 모든 것을 조금은 갖추고 있습니다. 마술의 팬이라면 꼭 봐야 할 쇼입니다!
매일 밤 공연자들은 관객의 제안을 받아 즉석에서 즉흥적인 리프와 전체 길이의 뮤지컬 넘버로 만들어냅니다. 모든 쇼는 프리스타일, 힙합, 즉흥적인 코미디로 구성되며, 쇼의 공동 제작자 중 한 명인 해밀턴으로 유명한 린 마누엘 미란다의 예상치 못한 게스트가 자주 등장해 전에 없던 새로운 코미디를 선보입니다.
저는 움 센터, 특히 데이비드와 엘리안의 사운드 경험의 열렬한 팬입니다. 이 명상은 그룹 발성, 홀로트로픽 호흡(LSD가 뇌에 미치는 영향을 자연스럽게 모방하는 호흡법), 아름다운 배음으로 고조된 의식 상태로 안내하는 명상입니다.
모든 사람에게 추천하며 특히 명상 초심자에게는 변화된 느낌을 줄 것입니다. 매주 금요일 오후 7시 30분에 진행됩니다. 3시간이라는 시간이 매번 20분 만에 지나가는 것처럼 느껴지니 겁내지 마세요!
VR 월드
VR은 아직 사람들에게 디바이스 소유를 권할 단계에 이르지 못했습니다. PS4, Xbox, PC에 비해 그래픽이 창백하고 지연 시간이 길어 멀미를 유발합니다. 하지만 각 게임이나 경험에 정확히 맞는 설정으로 수십 대의 최고급 VR 기기를 몇 시간 동안 사용하는 것은 정말 즐거운 일입니다. 함께 플레이하거나 서로 대결하는 것도 정말 재미있으니 친구들과 함께 가세요.
제로 스페이스
제로 스페이스는 몰입형 인터랙티브 디지털 아트 놀이터입니다. 사이키델릭한 느낌으로 정말 정신이 번쩍 들게 합니다. 이 쇼는 다소 단순하지만, 제대로 된 스타트렉 수준의 홀로데크를 갖추기까지는 아직 수십 년이 남았지만 앞으로 다가올 미래의 선구자로 볼 만한 가치가 있습니다.
슬립 노 모어는 몰입형 극장을 개척했지만, 한 가지 비판이 있다면 극장에서 무엇을 하고 누구를 따라가느냐에 따라 경험이 크게 달라질 수 있다는 점입니다. 그런 다음 그녀는 공연당 15명의 관객으로만 구성된 몰입형 극장 경험을 만들어 이 문제를 해결합니다. 그 결과, 여러분은 항상 활동의 일부가 됩니다.
이 공연은 정신병원처럼 세심하게 개조된 윌리엄스버그의 3층 건물에서 루이스 캐럴의 작품과 삶, 특히 이상한 나라의 앨리스와 거울나라의 앨리스의 뮤즈였던 어린 소녀 앨리스 리델과의 관계를 다루고 있습니다. 친밀하고 매력적이며 제가 참석했던 몰입형 극장 경험 중 가장 재미있고 매력적이며 흥미로운 공연이었습니다.
코미디 셀러는 세계 최고의 코미디 클럽이자 교육 기관입니다. 잘 알려진 만화와 새롭게 떠오르는 만화가 혼합된 환상적인 라인업이 항상 준비되어 있습니다. 이 직업의 슈퍼스타들 중 일부는 때때로 예고 없이 불쑥 찾아오기도 합니다. 로빈 윌리엄스, 크리스 록 등 수많은 스타들과 함께 했어요!
박물관이 지루하다고 생각했다면 이 방법을 통해 박물관을 체험해 보세요. 매우 유익한 정보임에도 불구하고 빠르게 진행되고 재미있습니다. 메트로폴리탄 박물관과 자연사 박물관을 모두 경험할 수 있는 방법이에요.
먼데이 나이트 매직
먼데이 나이트 매직은 재미있고 저렴하며 어린이 친화적인 마술쇼입니다. 그 주에 뉴욕을 방문한 최고의 마술사들이 펼치는 다양한 공연으로 더욱 신선한 경험을 선사합니다.
이 뮤지컬은 아마도 역대 최고의 뮤지컬일 것입니다. 알렉산더 해밀턴은 제 롤 모델 중 한 명이고 뮤지컬의 원작인 론 체노우의 전기의 열렬한 팬이었기 때문에 편향성이 강합니다. 하지만 이 미친 힙합 뮤지컬은 제가 눈물을 흘리게 만든 유일한 뮤지컬입니다. 꼭 보셔야 합니다!